Topics

[updated Oct 23, 2017]












https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29617531










Life Table 1662 Natural and political observations made upon the Bills of Mortality  J Graunt



Life Table 1693 An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind, Drawn from Curious Tables of the Births and Funerals at the City of Breslaw; With an Attempt to Ascertain the Price of Annuities upon Lives.  E Halley



Devonshire Colic 1767 An Essay Concerning the Cause Of Endemial Colic Of Devonshire George Baker
1970 The Devonshire Colic  H A Waldron



Vaccination against Smallpox 1798 An Inquiry into the Causes and Effects of the Variolae Vaccinae / A Disease Discovered in Some of the Western Counties of England, Particularly Gloucestershire, and Known by the Name of the Cow Pox. Edward Jenner
[If this .epub file wil not open directly, try downloading it first]



Gompertz Law of Mortality 1825 On the Nature of the Function Expressive of the Law of Human Mortality, and on a New Mode of Determining the Value of Life Contingencies  B Gompertz
2010 Cultural imagery and statistical models of the force of mortality: Addison, Gompertz and Pearson. E L Turner and J A Hanley



Poisson Distribution 1837 Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile ; précédées des Règles générales du calcul des probabilités  S-D Poisson
1907 On the Error of Counting with a Haemacytometer  Student (W S Gosset)



Logistic Curve (function) 1844 Recherches mathématiques sur la loi d'accroissement de la population  P-F Verhulst
200x The Origins of Logistic Regression  J S Cramer



Snow on Cholera 1849 On the Mode of Communication of Cholera  J Snow



Adulteration of bread -> rickets 1857 On the adulteration of bread as a cause of rickets  J Snow
. 2003 Commentary: John Snow and alum-induced rickets from adulterated London bread: an overlooked contribution to metabolic bone disease M Dunnigan



First Cousin Marriages and their Effects 1875 Marriages between First Cousins in England and Their Effects  G H Darwin
. 2009 Marriages between first cousins in England and their effects 
. 2009 Commentary: A Darwin family concern A Kuper
. 2018 Consanguineous Marriage and the Psychopathology of Progeny: A Population-wide Data Linkage Study. A Maguire

Early Examples of 'Case-control' Thinking .... link



Regression (to Mediocrity) 1886 Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature.  F Galton
. ---- Website on Galton and his work G Tredoux
. ---- Website containing JH's work on Galton J Hanley



Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Statistic 1900 On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable in the case of a correlated system of variables is such that it can be reasonably supposed to have arisen from random sampling  K Pearson



Probit Models 1934 The Method of Probits. by C I Bliss  (bio 1)   (bio 2)
. 1935 The Calculation of the Dosage-Mortality Curve C I Bliss
. 1935 The Case of Zero Survivors in Probit Analysis  R A Fisher
. 1936 The Calculation of the Time-Mortality Curve C I Bliss
. 1948 A Table for the Calculation of Working Probits and Weights in Probit Analysis D J Finney
. 20?? Probit Analysis Kim Vincent (SFU)
. 2017 Wikipedia


Smoking and Lung Cancer 1938 Tabakmißbrauch und Lungencarcinom  F H Müller
. 1950 Tobacco Smoking as a Possible Etiologic Factor in Bronchogenic Carcinoma  E L Wynder and E A Graham
. 1950 Smoking and Carcinoma of the Lung  R Doll and AB Hill
. 2012 The history of the discovery of the cigarette-lung cancer link: evidentiary traditions, corporate denial, global toll  R N Proctor
. 2012 Comments  O S Miettinen [ search "troika of Franz Müller, Richard Doll, and Ernst Wynder"]



Sensitivity Specificity 1947 Statistical Problems in Assessing Methods of Medical Diagnosis, with Special Reference to X-Ray Techniques  J Yerushalmy



Tumbler Mortality 1947 Tumbler Mortality  G W Brown and M M Flood



Estimating Comparative Rates 1951 A method of estimating comparative rates from clinical data; applications to cancer of the lung, breast, and cervix  J Cornfield



Estimating Comparative Rates 1955 On Estimating the Relation Between Blood Group and Disease.  B Woolf



Product-Limit (Kaplan-Meier) Survival Curve 1958 Nonparametric Estimation from Incomplete Observations. E L Kaplan and P Meier
1967 K-M: Self-consistent; a 'Re-distribute to the Right' Estimator B Efron
2016 The Kaplan-Meier theatre T A Gerds


Mantel-Haenszel 1959 Statistical Aspects of the Analysis of Data From Retrospective Studies of Disease (part 1).  (part 2)  (part 2)   N Mantel and W Haenszel


Thalidomide (Distaval) 1961 Distaval -- Letter to Editor  D J Hayman, [Distillers Company (Biochemicals) Ltd.],



Logistic Model in Epidemiology 1962 Joint dependence of risk of coronary heart disease on serum cholesterol and systolic blood pressure: a discriminant function analysis  J Cornfield
1967 A Multivariate Analysis of the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Framingham  J Cornfield and W Kannel
1967 Estimation of the Probability of an Event as a Function of Several Independent Variables  S H Walker and D B Duncan
1973 Synthetic Retrospective Studies and Related Topics  N Mantel
2002 Are Statistical Contributions to Medicine Undervalued?  N E Breslow.
--- discussion of McFadden's (1973) "conditional logit model", and Nobel Prize in Economics in 2000


Cox Model 1972 Regression Models and Life Tables.  D R Cox



Generalized Linear Models 1972 Generalized Linear Models  J A Nelder and R W M Wedderburn