BIOS601 Resources: Likelihood
[updated October 30, 2016]
Lecture Notes (Nandini Dendukuri)
Lecture Notes (J Hanley)
Clayton and Hills Textbook
Datasets / Software / Articles ...

Article 1774: Laplace's 1774 Memoir on Inverse Probability
pdf

Article 1778: Daniel Bernoulli's 1778 article: The most probable choice between several discrepant observations and
the formation therefrom of the most likely induction
pdf

Article 1878: A List of Writings related to the Method of Least Squares, with historical and critical Notes. By Mansfield Merriman, 1878.
pdf

Article 1894 Mean and variability of velocity of (younger and older) homing pigeons
Fanshawe: Significance 2011
Galton: Homing News and Pigeon Fanciers' Journal 1894
How did Galton, on p 159, arrive at the '124 yards/min'
measure of 'variability' ?
See also how he obtained the median from 2 percentiles
R code for ML/MinChiSq/Otherwise estimation of mean and SD [incl 'optim' call]
Output/Graphs
Galton on
"Grades and Deviates"
"The Median Estimate"

Article 1898: Sheppard WF
"On the Calculation of the most
probable Values of Frequency Constants for Data
arranged according to Equidistant Divisions of a Scale,"
Proc. Lond. Math. Soc., vol. 29, p. 353.
link
R simulations (JH 2016) showing correlations

Article 1912: Fisher RA
On an absolute criterion for fitting frequency curves.
Reproduced from "Messenger of Mathematics", v. 41: 155160 (1912)
pdf

Article 1922: Fisher RA
On the Mathematical Foundations of Theoretical Statistics
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.
Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical or Physical Character, Vol. 222 (1922), pp. 309368)
pdf
 MLE, directly, and by EM algorithm, of sigma  Fisher's 300 N(0,sigma) errors
data and R code

Article ( a propos Fisher's dilution series data): Douglas VanDerwerken.
What Petri dishes have to do with your research.
Significance Magazine, June 2012.
pdf

Article 1947 Tumbler Mortality  article

Tumbler Mortality  data [used in Dendukuri R code]

Tumbler Mortality  R code for simulated timelines and MLE [JH]
Simulated tumbler timelines

Article 1968 Age at menarche in Warsaw girls in 1965
R code
Article 1968 Age at menarche in Wroclaw, Poland girls in 1966

Textbook 1972 Portions of Chapters 3 and 6 of Edwards' textbook on Likelihood.

Article 1973: Peto R.
Experimental Survival Curves for IntervalCensored Data
[Onset of puberty in New Guinea females: intervalcensored observations
of 196 subjects.]
J Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics), Vol. 22, No. 1
(1973), pp. 8691
pdf

Article 1976: Atwood CL and Taube A.
Estimating Mean Time to Reach a Milestone, Using Retrospective Data.
Biometrics, Vol. 32, No. 1 (Mar., 1976), pp. 159172.
pdf

Article 1977 Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data via the EM Algorithm
A. P. Dempster; N. M. Laird; D. B. Rubin
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), Vol. 39, No. 1. (1977), pp. 138.
pdf

Article 1994: Falk et al. Avalanche survival chances. Nature, 1994.
pdf DATA .txt
R Code for ML fit of exponential/ mix of gamma distributions [new 2013.10.07]

Article 1997: Aldrich J
R. A. Fisher and the Making of Maximum
Likelihood 19121922
Statistical Science 1997, Vol. 12, No. 3, 162176
pdf

R code for C&H and other Likelihood Calculations [Dendukuri]

Article 2006 Digit preference bias in the recording of emergency department times. pdf
Data csv

Article 2011: Tibshirani RJ, Price A, and Taylor J
A statistician plays darts.
J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2011) 174, Part 1, pp. 213226.
pdf
authors' website
R code
Letter 2011 S. Sadhukhan, Z Liu, and J Hanley.
Practical and efficient estimates of one's accuracy in darts.
J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2011) to appear.
pdf
R code to create Figure